2019 Annual Conference Videos

AAPOR 2019 - David Dutwin Presidential Address

AAPOR 2019 - Kickoff General Session Panel: Conducting a Census in the Digital Age

Moderator: Peter Miller, Northwestern University

D. Sunshine Hillygus, Duke University
James Treat, U.S. Census Bureau
Patrice Mathieu, Statistics Canada

For the first time ever, AAPOR livestreamed a selection of election-related panels from the conference in Toronto.

AAPOR 2019 - Livestream Session: 2018 Voting, Demographics and Issues

Moderator: Sanjay Vrudhula, ReconMR

Who Should be Held Responsible?: The Effects of Group Framing Upon Climate Change Mitigation
Andrew Thompson, Northwestern University

Blue Waves and White Bubbles
Gary Langer, Langer Research Associates

Dissecting the Urban/Rural Divide: Analyzing Demographic Differences in Voting Behavior and Political Attitudes within Community Types
Emily Swanson, The Associated Press
Hannah Fingerhut, The Associated Press

Health Care on the Ballot in 2018? Findings from 2018 Election Polls
Mollyann Brodie, Kaiser Family Foundation
Liz Hamel, Kaiser Family Foundation
Ashley Kirzinger, Kaiser Family Foundation

More than Spare Change: Proximity and Voter Preferences on Homelessness Spending
Ayobami Laniyonu, University of Toronto
Shakari Byerly, University of California, Los Angeles

AAPOR 2019 - Livestream Session: Accomplishments and Challenges of Exit Polling

Moderator: Courtney Kennedy, Pew Research Center

Jen Agiesta, CNN
Josh Clinton, NBC News
John Lapinski, NBC
Marc Meredith, NBC News
Dan Merkle, ABC News
Charlie Riemann, NBC News
Anthony Salvanto, CBS News

AAPOR 2019 - Livestream Session: The AP VoteCast Methodology and Results

Moderator: Trevor Tompson

The Economy, Trade, and Voting: Using AP VoteCast Data to Demonstrate the Effect of Local Conditions on Americans’ Attitudes and Vote Choice
Dan Malato, NORC at the University of Chicago
David Sterrett, NORC at the University of Chicago
Jennifer Benz, NORC at the University of Chicago
William Bonnell, NORC at the University of Chicago
Tomas Okal, NORC at the University of Chicago
Trevor Tompson, NORC at the University of Chicago

AP VoteCast 2018: Assessing the Impact of a New Approach to Election Polling
Jennifer Benz, NORC at the University of Chicago
Trevor Tompson, NORC at the University of Chicago
David Sterrett, NORC at the University of Chicago
David Scott, The Associated Press
Emily Swanson, The Associated Press

AP VoteCast’s Use of a National MRP Model to Calibrate Non-Probability Samples in All 50 States
David Sterrett, NORC at the University of Chicago
N. Ganesh, NORC at the University of Chicago
Jennifer Benz, NORC at the University of Chicago
Dan Malato, NORC at the University of Chicago
Trevor Tompson, NORC at the University of Chicago

Exploring Selection and Measurement Differences by Response Mode in AP VoteCast
Benjamin Skalland, NORC at the University of Chicago
David Sterrett, NORC at the University of Chicago
Emily Swanson, The Associated Press
Hannah Fingerhut, The Associated Press
David Scott, The Associated Press

The AP VoteCast: Methodology and Results
Trevor Tompson, NORC at the University of Chicago

The Unexamined Electorate: Using VoteCast to Study Small Voting Populations and Nonvoters
Emily Swanson, The Associated Press
Hannah Fingerhut, The Associated Press
Marjorie Connelly, The AP-NORC Center

AAPOR 2019 - Livestream Session: Election Forecasting, Modeling, and Weighting

Moderator: Andrew Smith, University of New Hampshire

Method of Flexible Model Based Weighting
Masahiko Aida, Civis Analytics
Michael Sadowsky, Civis Analytics
Allison Sullivan, Civis Analytics
Keith Myers-Crum, Citadel Securities

Modeling Vote Choice at the Local-Level Using 2018 AP Votecast Data
Nadarajasundaram Ganesh, NORC at the University of Chicago
David Sterrett, NORC at the University of Chicago
Jennifer Benz, NORC at the University of Chicago
Trevor Tompson, NORC at the University of Chicago

New Levels of Accuracy with Calibrated Polling
Tobias Konitzer, PredictWise
David Rothschild, PredictWise

Predicting German Election Results with MrsP Using Data from a Large Opt-In Online-Panel
Tobias Wolfram, Civey GmbH
Charlotte Weber, Civey GmbH
Jacob Kastl, Civey GmbH

Using Unstructured Data during Elections: Moving Towards a Full Spectrum Approach to Election Forecasting
Chris Jackson, Ipsos
Mark Polyak, Ipsos
Mallory Newall, Ipsos
Alexa Dibenedetto, Ipsos

AAPOR 2019 - AAPOR WAPOR Plenary: Populism Around the World

Moderator: Gary Langer, Langer Research

Pippa Norris, Harvard University and University of Sydney
Laura Silver, Pew Research Center

AAPOR 2019 - AAPOR Award Winner Paul J. Lavrakas